Re: Einschätzung der nächsten Jahre aus U.S. Sicht
Geschrieben von detlef am 05. November 2004 21:22:10:
Als Antwort auf: Einschätzung der nächsten Jahre aus U.S. Sicht geschrieben von Lux am 05. November 2004 19:40:46:
American pressure is not insubstantial. Virtually every country in the world
wants something from the United States, from a trade agreement to support on
a local conflict. They can do without an accommodation with the United States
for months, but there is frequently serious pain associated with being at
odds with the United States for years. Throughout the world, nations that
have resisted U.S. actions in the war -- both within and outside of the
region -- must now consider whether they can resist for years.
That is understood. Equally
understood is that Bush will reward friends. Bush's test of friendship is
simple: support for the United States and, in particular, support for the
policies being pursued by his administration in the war. For Bush, active
support for the war was a litmus test for good relations with the United
States during the first term. The second term will make the first term look
gentle.
Countries that made the decision not to support Bush did so with the
assumption that they could absorb the cost for a while. They must now
recalculate to see if they can absorb the cost for four more years -- and
even beyond, if Bush's successor pursues his policies. For many countries,
what was a temporary disagreement is about to turn into a strategic
misalignment with the United States. Some countries will continue on their
path, others will reconsider. There will be a reshuffling of the global deck
in the coming months.
da wird er schroeder wohl bald fahren muessen, einen kleinen kotau machen...
gruss,detlef
