Who will benefit if Russia collapses ?
Geschrieben von offthspc am 07. Juni 2004 22:50:17:
Als Antwort auf: NACHRICHTEN (Montag, 07.06.2004) (owT) geschrieben von Johannes am 07. Juni 2004 13:46:14:
Der Vorspann ...
Analysis: Russia's many futures
By Peter Lavelle
Published on April 30, 2004
This article was written for UPI - United Press International
MOSCOW, April 30 (UPI) -- A recently declassified National Intelligence Council report found at the CIA's Web site, "Global Trends 2015," has Russia's media, politicians and citizens pondering the country's future. Could the Russian Federation breakup into a number of smaller states by 2015? Not surprisingly, a number of high-ranking officials completely dismiss the report's forecasts, but many Russians appear not to be so sure.
Zitatquelle: http://www.untimely-thoughts.com/?art=526
Und die Pravda spinnt den Faden eines kollabierenden Rußlands weiter ...
Who will benefit if Russia collapses ?
CIA prognoses the country"s break-up into 6-8 states, and the authorities has recently divided Russia into 7 districts. The district authorities supervise law-enforcement entities there.
Is the insufficiently considered policy of the authorities the main threat to the country"s integrity. What will the administrative reform result in? It is easy to answer this question. The Far East and East Siberia are very scarcely populated. The Urals, West Siberia and the Central Region are the "reservations" for Russians which is separated from the seas. The South of Russia and the Volga area are multi-national confederations and the area for long-lasting civil war. The North and Kaliningrad region are potential "occupants" doomed for having "preemptive" strikes of NATO protecting the "sovereignty" of the Baltic states.
Is there a guarantee that the parts of Russia will not apply the principles of the "new policy" introduced by Americans in Iraq? Protecting democracy, ethnic minorities (majorities)? In this case, Southern Russia will take back the Crimea and the left-bank part of Ukraine. Central Russia will unite with Belarus, Northern Russia will immediately deploy its troops in the Baltic states to re-unite with Kaliningrad region. Eastern Russia can take over Northern area of Kazakhstan and deal with the issues of Japanese clams on the Kurile Islands and US taking over the part of the bering Sea shelf?
Four more aggressive states can arise instead of one Russia, and I am afraid that in this case the world community will have urgent need to fight for united Russia.
Zitatquelle:http://english.pravda.ru/main/18/88/354/13029_Russia.html
Da wird also darauf spekuliert das RU bis 2015 in mehrere aggressive Nationalstaaten zerfallen könnte....mfG
offthspc